• Home
  • Victims
    • Vaccine Victims Memorial
    • Gardasil & Silgard
      • G / S Australasia
        • G / S Australia
        • G / S New Zealand
      • G / S Europe
        • G / S Czech Republic
        • G / S Denmark
        • G / S France
        • G / S Germany
        • G / S Ireland
        • G / S Italy
        • G / S Norway
        • G / S Scotland
        • G / S Spain
        • G / S United Kingdom
      • G / S N. America
        • G / S Canada
        • G / S Mexico
        • G / S United States
      • G / S S. America
        • G / S Brazil
        • G/S Colombia
    • Cervarix
      • Cervarix Asia
        • Cervarix India
        • Cervarix Philippines
      • Cervarix Europe
        • Cervarix Czech
        • Cervarix Netherlands
        • Cervarix Scotland
        • Cervarix Slovakia
        • Cervarix Spain
        • Cervarix UK
      • Cervarix N. America
        • Cervarix Mexico
  • Resources
    • HPV Testing Resources
      • Pre-HPV Vaccination
      • Post-HPV Vaccination
    • Medical Professionals
    • Vaccine Injury Attorneys
    • Political Action Groups
    • Vaccine Groups
    • Vaccine Victims Hotline
  • SANE Vax Press Releases
  • Videos
    • Vaccine Safety Videos
    • Vaccine Victim Videos
    • Pharma Videos
  • About
    • About Us
    • Who We Are
    • Press Releases
    • SANE Vax in the News
    • Contact Us

SaneVax, Inc.

The First International HPV Vaccine Information Clearinghouse

  • NEWS
    • Government Agencies
      • African
      • Asian
      • Australasian
      • European
      • North American
      • South American
      • United Nations
      • WHO
    • Pharmaceutical Companies
      • CSL Biotherapies
      • GlaxoSmithKline
      • Inovio Pharmaceuticals
      • Liquidia Technologies
      • Merck & Co.
      • Novartis
      • Pfizer
      • Qiagen
      • Sanofi Aventis
      • Sanofi Pasteur MSD spmsd
      • Wyeth Laboratories
    • Science & Medicine
      • Cancer
      • Clinical Trials
      • Environmental Health
      • Heavy Metal Toxicity
      • HPV Science
      • Influenza
      • Meningitis
      • Pertussis
      • Pharmaceuticals
      • Rotavirus
      • STD’s
      • Vaccine Science
      • Women’s Health
    • Vaccine Adverse Events
    • Vaccine Injury Reporting
      • VAERS
      • VAMPSS
    • Vaccine Litigation
    • Vaccine Marketing
    • Vaccine Politics/People
    • Vaccine Victims
      • Cervarix Injuries
      • DTP/DTaP Injuries
      • Fluvax Injuries
      • Fluzone Injuries
      • Gardasil / Silgard Injuries
      • Menomune Injuries
      • MMR Injuries
      • Polio Vaccine Injuries
      • Synflorix Injuries
      • Yellow Fever Vaccine
    • Vaccines
      • Anthrax
      • Breast Cancer
      • Chicken Pox
      • Cholera
      • Combination Vaccines
      • Diphtheria
      • Hepatitis B
      • HPV
      • Influenza Vaccines
      • Malaria
      • Measles
      • Meningitis Vaccines
      • MRSA
      • Mumps
      • Norovirus
      • Pertussis Vaccines
      • Pneumococcal Disease
      • Polio
      • Rotavirus Vaccines
      • Shingles
      • Smallpox
      • TB
      • Tetanus
      • Typhoid
      • Yellow Fever Vaccine
    • Vaccines and the Media
  • WORLD NEWS
    • Africa
    • Asia
    • Australasia
    • Europe
    • North America
    • South America
  • RESEARCH
    • Cancer Research
    • Cervarix Vaccine
    • Gardasil/Silgard Vaccine
    • Human Pap. Research
    • Immunization Practices
    • Neurology
    • Vaccine Adjuvants
    • Vac. Ingredient Research
    • Vaccine Injuries
    • Vaccine Preservatives
    • Vaccine Related Research
    • Vaccine Safety
  • CITIZENS SPEAK
    • Cervical Cancer Debate
    • HPV Vax
      • Australian Concerns
      • Canadian Concerns
      • Irish Concerns
      • Spain Concerns
      • UK Concerns
      • United States Concerns
You are here: Home / NEWS . . . . . . . . / Vaccines / HPV / Cervarix / Cervical cancer incidence can increase despite HPV vaccination — Author's reply ( BTW- paid for by GlaxoSmithKline makers of Cervarix)

Cervical cancer incidence can increase despite HPV vaccination — Author's reply ( BTW- paid for by GlaxoSmithKline makers of Cervarix)

August 31, 2010 By Jonathan Leave a Comment

The Lancet Infectious Diseases

Chris T Bauch

The Lancet Infectious Diseases, Volume 10, Issue 9, Page 595,
September 2010
doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(10)70183-3

Our Personal View1 presents a mathematical model to determine the conditions under which a decline in screening adherence in vaccinated women would outweigh the benefits of a human papillomvirus (HPV) immunisation programme, and thus result in a net increase in cervical cancer incidence. In their refutation, Diane Harper and colleagues’2 create a misrepresentation of our model and then refute that misrepresentation. First, Harper and colleagues interpret our model as showing that human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination will prevent any future increase in incidence of cervical cancer. We find that such an increase is indeed possible, especially when screening coverage is high before vaccine introduction, however, it does not occur unless the decline in screening adherence is steep. Second, Harper and colleagues incorrectly cite the opportunistic screening scenario; for comparison to the situation in Finland, for which the organised screening scenario (high coverage) should be cited. Our model1 predicts that a rise in cervical cancer incidence in vaccinated women is more likely with organised screening than with opportunistic screening, and so data from Finland might actually validate our model.
Harper and colleagues use data showing increasing cervical cancer incidence in Finland and the UK, either directly related to declining screening coverage or despite rising screening coverage. They conclude that incidence of cervical cancer can increase in vaccinated populations and our model must therefore be wrong; however, this reasoning is also questionable. The data used are from the pre-vaccine era when there was no other public health interventions to counterbalance surges in cervical cancer cases caused by reduced screening adherence or changes in sexual behaviour. Of course cervical cancer incidence will increase in such conditions. Our model was devised to understand when immunisation would be sufficient to outweigh the effects of a decline in screening adherence in vaccinated women.
Every model makes assumptions and ours is no exception. It assumes that cervical cancer incidence is constant or already declining before the HPV vaccine is introduced. This is true for many countries,3, 4 but the data presented by Harper and colleagues show that this assumption does not apply to certain age groups in Finland. To address this example adequately, our model would have to include a scenario of a pre-existing rise in incidence before vaccine introduction. Even without this inclusion, the organised screening scenario of our model suggests that Finland might be more vulnerable than other countries to increases in cervical cancer incidence in vaccinated women who reduce their cervical screening adherence. This insight—together with the pre-vaccine data presented by Harper and colleagues—suggests that HPV immunisation programmes implemented in Finland should be monitored closely to ensure that this increase in incidence does not occur.

CTB has received travel and accommodation expenses, consultancy fees, and a research grant from GlaxoSmithKline.

Read More…

Related

Filed Under: Cervarix, Cervical Cancer HPV, Gardasil / Silgard Tagged With: cervarix, Cervical Cancer HPV, Gardasil/Silgard, GlaxoSmithKline, HPV, HPV VACCINES, Merck, Vaccine Adverse Reactions

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Follow Us

SaneVax on FacebookSaneVax on TwitterSaneVax on LinkedInSaneVax on YoutubeSaneVax RSS Feed

Help Support SaneVax

Notice: We need your support. This massive research & presentation comes from a team of volunteers. We need your help to keep this critical information available.



SaneVax relies on support from participants like you. We are a 501 (c)(3) non-profit corporation, donations are tax deductible. Help keep this venue available and support the spirit – Thank you!

This Week’s Survivor

Gardasil in Italy: My daughter’s two year battle with new medical conditions

Categories

Links

  • Creating an HPV Industry
  • File a VAERS Report
  • Gardasil and Unexplained Deaths
  • HPV Industry Timeline
  • HPV Mechanisms of Action in Women
  • HPV Vaccine Fact Sheet
  • Petition: Rescind HPV Vaccine Approval
  • Presentation to the FDA
  • Supreme Court Arguments

HPV Vaccine VAERS Reports

Description 12/14/2019  TOTAL
Disabled 3,092
Deaths 523
Did Not Recover 13,072
Abnormal Smear 695
Cervical Cancer 186
Infertility 52
Life-threatening 1,001
Emergency Room 15,419
Hospitalized 6,448
Extended Hosp. Stay 304
Serious 9,497
Total Adverse Events 64,270

Access expanded report here.

Related

Subscribe2


 

Log In

Featured Video

People Advocating Vaccine Education P.A.V.E.

People Advocating Vaccine Education P.A.V.E

News

SaneVax News Blog!
News

Videos

Safety • Victims • Pharma
No Genetic Epidemic

Contact

Contact S.A.N.E.Vax
S.A.N.E.VAX log thumbnail

Copyright © 2025 SaneVax, Inc. · Site by TheWebElves.com a div. of KalaRhythms.org · Log in